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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.81vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.87+2.98vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+0.89vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.56+1.89vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02-0.36vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.41+0.13vs Predicted
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7Columbia University-0.05+3.12vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.96-3.32vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.47-0.83vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.09-3.31vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut1.93-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.2%1st Place
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4.98Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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3.89Boston University3.420.2%1st Place
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5.89Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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4.64University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.13Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.12Columbia University-0.050.0%1st Place
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4.68University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.17Yale University1.470.0%1st Place
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6.69Roger Williams University2.090.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanna Vincent | 17.3% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 11.5% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 17.0% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 1.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 13.4% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Camille Matile | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 3.3% |
| Madelaine Harrison | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 11.0% | 71.7% |
| Amina Brown | 12.9% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Astrid Pacini | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 32.8% | 13.7% |
| Rachel Perry | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 3.8% |
| Sarah Fuller | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.