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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.13+7.25vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.78vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.02+6.51vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.75+2.19vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.47+6.29vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.15+4.34vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+1.73vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.55+3.08vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.77+0.89vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.73-3.54vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00-0.85vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-1.00vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.32-5.41vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.72+0.13vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.71-1.66vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.08-6.91vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.81-7.58vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.34-10.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.25George Washington University2.137.9%1st Place
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6.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.3%1st Place
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9.51University of Wisconsin2.024.2%1st Place
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6.19Georgetown University2.7512.5%1st Place
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11.29Eckerd College1.473.2%1st Place
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10.34Tufts University2.153.8%1st Place
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8.73University of California at Santa Barbara2.045.9%1st Place
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11.08Jacksonville University1.553.6%1st Place
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9.89Tulane University1.774.0%1st Place
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6.46Yale University2.738.9%1st Place
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10.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.004.3%1st Place
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11.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.5%1st Place
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7.59University of Miami2.328.0%1st Place
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14.13Hampton University0.721.3%1st Place
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13.34University of Vermont0.711.3%1st Place
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9.09Bowdoin College2.085.7%1st Place
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9.42Old Dominion University1.815.3%1st Place
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7.74Boston College2.347.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Feves | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Mariner Fagan | 12.5% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 7.3% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Matthew King | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Jack Egan | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 32.2% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 21.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.