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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.02+3.71vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.73vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.56+2.90vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.96+0.90vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.87-0.01vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.42-2.22vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut1.93-0.03vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.09-1.30vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.47-0.83vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.41-4.09vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.05-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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3.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.2%1st Place
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5.9Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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4.9University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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4.99Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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3.78Boston University3.420.2%1st Place
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6.97University of Connecticut1.930.1%1st Place
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6.7Roger Williams University2.090.1%1st Place
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8.17Yale University1.470.0%1st Place
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5.91Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.25Columbia University-0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanel Miller | 10.6% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Hanna Vincent | 19.9% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 1.1% |
| Amina Brown | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 11.9% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 18.1% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 4.8% |
| Rachel Perry | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 2.9% |
| Astrid Pacini | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 17.4% | 29.9% | 13.7% |
| Camille Matile | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 1.6% |
| Madelaine Harrison | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 10.2% | 74.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.