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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+5.48vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+8.25vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.02+6.82vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.73+2.33vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.34+2.58vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+2.51vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.81+2.64vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.55+2.97vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.15+1.45vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.75-3.75vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.13-2.73vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-0.97vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.08-3.88vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.47-2.70vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.71-1.68vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.77-6.15vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.32-9.27vs Predicted
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18Hampton University0.72-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.9%1st Place
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10.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.004.2%1st Place
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9.82University of Wisconsin2.024.5%1st Place
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6.33Yale University2.7310.0%1st Place
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7.58Boston College2.348.2%1st Place
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8.51University of California at Santa Barbara2.046.5%1st Place
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9.64Old Dominion University1.814.6%1st Place
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10.97Jacksonville University1.552.9%1st Place
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10.45Tufts University2.153.5%1st Place
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6.25Georgetown University2.7512.4%1st Place
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8.27George Washington University2.136.5%1st Place
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11.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.6%1st Place
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9.12Bowdoin College2.085.6%1st Place
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11.3Eckerd College1.473.2%1st Place
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13.32University of Vermont0.712.4%1st Place
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9.85Tulane University1.774.7%1st Place
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7.73University of Miami2.326.6%1st Place
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14.09Hampton University0.721.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Jack Egan | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Chris Kayda | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
| Matthew King | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
| Mariner Fagan | 12.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Feves | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 22.8% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.