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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+5.53vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.15+8.13vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.81+6.71vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+5.10vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.75+1.24vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+2.86vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.02+2.61vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-1.31vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.08+0.07vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.32-2.20vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.34-3.22vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-1.10vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.55-1.93vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.13-5.55vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.77-4.95vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.47-4.56vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.85-3.51vs Predicted
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18Hampton University0.72-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Yale University2.7310.1%1st Place
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10.13Tufts University2.154.2%1st Place
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9.71Old Dominion University1.815.5%1st Place
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9.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.166.0%1st Place
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6.24Georgetown University2.7511.2%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Santa Barbara2.046.4%1st Place
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9.61University of Wisconsin2.024.5%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.7%1st Place
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9.07Bowdoin College2.085.2%1st Place
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7.8University of Miami2.327.5%1st Place
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7.78Boston College2.346.6%1st Place
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10.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.5%1st Place
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11.07Jacksonville University1.553.1%1st Place
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8.45George Washington University2.136.2%1st Place
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10.05Tulane University1.774.0%1st Place
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11.44Eckerd College1.472.8%1st Place
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13.49University of Vermont0.851.8%1st Place
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14.09Hampton University0.721.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Will Murray | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Mariner Fagan | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Chris Kayda | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% |
| Matthew King | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% |
| Cameron Feves | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| Sean Tallman | 2.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 23.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.