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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.56+4.78vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+2.59vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+3.99vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42-0.10vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96-0.25vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.21vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.47+0.96vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.87-3.14vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut1.93-1.76vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.41-4.07vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.05-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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4.59University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.99Roger Williams University2.090.1%1st Place
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3.9Boston University3.420.2%1st Place
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4.75University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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3.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.2%1st Place
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7.96Yale University1.470.0%1st Place
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4.86Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.24University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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5.93Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.23Columbia University-0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Koos | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 13.8% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Perry | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 4.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 16.7% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 12.9% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 17.9% | 18.5% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Astrid Pacini | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 27.7% | 12.5% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 10.5% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Fuller | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 18.6% | 6.6% |
| Camille Matile | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 1.5% |
| Madelaine Harrison | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 12.2% | 72.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.