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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.09+5.92vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+2.73vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.02+1.79vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.56+1.87vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.87+0.01vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.25vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42-3.41vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut1.93-0.99vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.47-0.84vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.41-4.08vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.05-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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4.73University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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4.79University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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5.87Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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5.01Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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3.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.2%1st Place
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3.59Boston University3.420.2%1st Place
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7.01University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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8.16Yale University1.470.0%1st Place
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5.92Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.25Columbia University-0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Perry | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 18.7% | 13.4% | 4.2% |
| Amina Brown | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 11.0% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 0.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 17.7% | 19.1% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 20.2% | 19.6% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 19.5% | 4.0% |
| Astrid Pacini | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 30.6% | 13.7% |
| Camille Matile | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 1.6% |
| Madelaine Harrison | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 74.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.