← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.50+2.82vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University1.00+3.08vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii1.47+0.81vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+2.27vs Predicted
-
5Arizona State University-0.39+5.66vs Predicted
-
6San Diego State University0.53+0.99vs Predicted
-
7California State University Channel Islands-1.54+6.32vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley-0.84+2.06vs Predicted
-
9California Poly Maritime Academy0.53-3.06vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94+1.96vs Predicted
-
11University of Southern California0.70-5.31vs Predicted
-
12San Diego State University-1.19-0.12vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego0.03-5.59vs Predicted
-
14Santa Clara University-1.38-1.73vs Predicted
-
15Arizona State University-1.92-1.05vs Predicted
-
16Arizona State University-1.53-3.96vs Predicted
-
17San Diego State University-1.18-5.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.82University of California at Santa Barbara1.5018.7%1st Place
-
5.08Stanford University1.0013.4%1st Place
-
3.81University of Hawaii1.4719.1%1st Place
-
6.27University of California at Santa Cruz0.827.8%1st Place
-
10.66Arizona State University-0.392.1%1st Place
-
6.99San Diego State University0.535.9%1st Place
-
13.32California State University Channel Islands-1.540.5%1st Place
-
10.06University of California at Berkeley-0.842.6%1st Place
-
5.94California Poly Maritime Academy0.538.5%1st Place
-
11.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.941.3%1st Place
-
5.69University of Southern California0.709.4%1st Place
-
11.88San Diego State University-1.190.9%1st Place
-
7.41University of California at San Diego0.035.1%1st Place
-
12.27Santa Clara University-1.381.4%1st Place
-
13.95Arizona State University-1.920.5%1st Place
-
12.04Arizona State University-1.531.2%1st Place
-
11.84San Diego State University-1.181.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Skerrett | 18.7% | 18.9% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Cornell | 13.4% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arden Rathkopf | 19.1% | 18.6% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brent Lin | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 19.5% |
| Bianca Weber | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Sam Jennings | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 8.7% |
| Cameron Berry | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 10.1% |
| Viviane Carroll | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 30.2% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.