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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.51+4.63vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+2.52vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.68vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+0.56vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.47+2.63vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.09+0.47vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42-3.52vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.87-3.36vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.05+0.80vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.260.00vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.41-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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4.52University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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3.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.2%1st Place
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4.56University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.63Yale University1.470.0%1st Place
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6.47Roger Williams University2.090.1%1st Place
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3.48Boston University3.420.2%1st Place
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4.64Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.8Columbia University-0.050.0%1st Place
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10.0University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.6Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lizzy Hamilton | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Amina Brown | 12.1% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 17.7% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 13.2% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Astrid Pacini | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 31.2% | 16.5% | 4.6% |
| Rachel Perry | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 18.3% | 17.1% | 6.8% | 1.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 21.9% | 19.7% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 11.9% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Madelaine Harrison | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 9.7% | 35.9% | 42.4% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 31.6% | 50.1% |
| Camille Matile | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 9.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.