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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+5.34vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.02+7.69vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+3.62vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.34+3.88vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.15+5.47vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.13+2.54vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.08+2.03vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.81+1.74vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-0.33vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.47+1.28vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.77-1.10vs Predicted
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12Hampton University0.72+2.25vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.32-5.23vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-2.64vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-6.32vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.75-9.97vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.85-3.57vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.55-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.34Yale University2.7310.9%1st Place
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9.69University of Wisconsin2.025.1%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.7%1st Place
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7.88Boston College2.347.1%1st Place
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10.47Tufts University2.153.7%1st Place
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8.54George Washington University2.135.1%1st Place
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9.03Bowdoin College2.085.2%1st Place
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9.74Old Dominion University1.814.9%1st Place
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8.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.046.0%1st Place
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11.28Eckerd College1.473.2%1st Place
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9.9Tulane University1.773.7%1st Place
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14.25Hampton University0.721.9%1st Place
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7.77University of Miami2.326.0%1st Place
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11.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.0%1st Place
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8.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.165.9%1st Place
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6.03Georgetown University2.7512.7%1st Place
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13.43University of Vermont0.851.5%1st Place
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11.31Jacksonville University1.553.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Cameron Feves | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Chris Kayda | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.0% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 14.7% | 34.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% |
| Will Murray | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Mariner Fagan | 12.7% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 22.1% |
| Matthew King | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.