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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.13+7.26vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.68vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.81+6.81vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.73+2.46vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+3.83vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.15+4.32vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.75-0.77vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.02+1.53vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.47+2.14vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.32-2.06vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.08-1.70vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.34-4.37vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-1.85vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-5.16vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.77-5.13vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.55-4.76vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.85-3.43vs Predicted
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18Hampton University0.72-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.26George Washington University2.135.8%1st Place
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6.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.3%1st Place
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9.81Old Dominion University1.813.6%1st Place
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6.46Yale University2.7310.9%1st Place
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8.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.165.8%1st Place
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10.32Tufts University2.153.9%1st Place
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6.23Georgetown University2.7510.8%1st Place
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9.53University of Wisconsin2.024.8%1st Place
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11.14Eckerd College1.473.9%1st Place
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7.94University of Miami2.327.6%1st Place
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9.3Bowdoin College2.085.3%1st Place
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7.63Boston College2.348.1%1st Place
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11.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.2%1st Place
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8.84University of California at Santa Barbara2.045.6%1st Place
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9.87Tulane University1.775.0%1st Place
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11.24Jacksonville University1.552.7%1st Place
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13.57University of Vermont0.851.4%1st Place
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14.21Hampton University0.721.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Feves | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Jack Egan | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Will Murray | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% |
| Chris Kayda | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Asher Zittrer | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Matthew King | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 16.5% | 23.4% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 15.8% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.