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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+3.60vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.53vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.02+1.53vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.87+0.88vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.47+2.63vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.42-2.40vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.51-1.65vs Predicted
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8Columbia University-0.05+1.82vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.41-3.21vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.09-3.73vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-0.26-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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3.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.2%1st Place
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4.53University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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4.88Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.63Yale University1.470.0%1st Place
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3.6Boston University3.420.2%1st Place
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5.35Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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9.82Columbia University-0.050.0%1st Place
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5.79Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.27Roger Williams University2.090.1%1st Place
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10.0University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 10.4% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 20.6% | 18.2% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 12.2% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Astrid Pacini | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 28.2% | 17.1% | 4.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 20.0% | 18.6% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Madelaine Harrison | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 10.3% | 34.1% | 43.2% |
| Camille Matile | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Perry | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 7.2% | 0.8% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 31.3% | 50.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.