← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Amina Brown 10.4% 12.7% 14.1% 11.1% 14.9% 12.6% 11.9% 7.1% 4.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Hanna Vincent 20.6% 18.2% 16.2% 14.1% 11.0% 9.3% 6.4% 2.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Chanel Miller 12.2% 12.1% 14.0% 12.2% 12.4% 14.3% 9.3% 9.0% 3.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Kelly McGlynn 10.1% 11.1% 10.6% 13.9% 13.1% 12.2% 11.8% 10.0% 5.2% 1.9% 0.1%
Astrid Pacini 3.2% 3.3% 3.3% 4.8% 4.1% 7.0% 9.6% 14.6% 28.2% 17.1% 4.8%
Hannah Polster 20.0% 18.6% 15.3% 15.7% 9.7% 7.7% 6.6% 4.0% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Lizzy Hamilton 8.8% 9.2% 9.3% 11.6% 11.8% 11.7% 12.5% 12.8% 9.3% 2.6% 0.4%
Madelaine Harrison 0.8% 1.0% 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 1.7% 2.5% 4.0% 10.3% 34.1% 43.2%
Camille Matile 7.5% 6.7% 9.1% 8.2% 11.0% 12.1% 14.5% 14.1% 12.2% 4.0% 0.6%
Rachel Perry 5.8% 6.8% 6.9% 7.1% 9.4% 10.0% 13.3% 16.8% 15.9% 7.2% 0.8%
Kimberly Jackman 0.6% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 1.5% 1.4% 1.6% 4.7% 7.3% 31.3% 50.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.