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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.87+3.80vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.51+3.48vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+1.66vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+0.53vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42-1.44vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.41vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.09-0.76vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.41-2.40vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.47-1.29vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.26+0.02vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.05-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.48Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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4.53University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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3.56Boston University3.420.2%1st Place
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3.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.2%1st Place
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6.24Roger Williams University2.090.1%1st Place
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5.6Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.71Yale University1.470.0%1st Place
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10.02University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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9.81Columbia University-0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly McGlynn | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Amina Brown | 11.8% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 19.6% | 19.6% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 19.7% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Perry | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Camille Matile | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Astrid Pacini | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 15.6% | 28.6% | 16.7% | 5.9% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 7.9% | 28.0% | 53.0% |
| Madelaine Harrison | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 40.3% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.