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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.13+7.38vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+4.32vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+5.02vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.81+5.72vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+3.78vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.55+5.00vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.34+0.70vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.08+1.25vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.77+1.01vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.15+0.38vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.47+0.34vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-5.32vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-4.14vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.75-7.87vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.85-1.73vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.02-6.36vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-5.70vs Predicted
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18Hampton University0.72-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.38George Washington University2.137.0%1st Place
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6.32Yale University2.7311.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Miami2.326.8%1st Place
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9.72Old Dominion University1.815.1%1st Place
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8.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.165.6%1st Place
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11.0Jacksonville University1.553.7%1st Place
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7.7Boston College2.347.3%1st Place
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9.25Bowdoin College2.084.9%1st Place
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10.01Tulane University1.774.1%1st Place
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10.38Tufts University2.154.5%1st Place
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11.34Eckerd College1.473.0%1st Place
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6.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.2%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Santa Barbara2.045.4%1st Place
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6.13Georgetown University2.7511.3%1st Place
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13.27University of Vermont0.851.2%1st Place
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9.64University of Wisconsin2.024.2%1st Place
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11.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.0%1st Place
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14.23Hampton University0.721.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Feves | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Jack Egan | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Will Murray | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Matthew King | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Chris Kayda | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Mariner Fagan | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 22.8% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.9% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 15.5% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.