← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University1.81+8.50vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.73+4.06vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.34+4.53vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin2.02+5.50vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College1.47+6.01vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University2.13+2.09vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami2.32+0.77vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.15+2.15vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.69+4.82vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-1.40vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.08-2.17vs Predicted
-
12Jacksonville University1.55-1.27vs Predicted
-
13Tulane University2.04-4.19vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-5.54vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-8.60vs Predicted
-
16Hampton University0.72-1.95vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont0.71-3.88vs Predicted
-
18Georgetown University2.09-9.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.5Old Dominion University1.815.5%1st Place
-
6.06Yale University2.7310.6%1st Place
-
7.53Boston College2.348.7%1st Place
-
9.5University of Wisconsin2.025.0%1st Place
-
11.01Eckerd College1.473.4%1st Place
-
8.09George Washington University2.137.3%1st Place
-
7.77University of Miami2.327.1%1st Place
-
10.15Tufts University2.154.6%1st Place
-
13.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.691.5%1st Place
-
8.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.165.7%1st Place
-
8.83Bowdoin College2.086.0%1st Place
-
10.73Jacksonville University1.553.0%1st Place
-
8.81Tulane University2.045.1%1st Place
-
8.46University of California at Santa Barbara2.046.8%1st Place
-
6.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.2%1st Place
-
14.05Hampton University0.721.8%1st Place
-
13.12University of Vermont0.711.5%1st Place
-
8.57Georgetown University2.096.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Jack Egan | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 6.4% |
| Cameron Feves | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| David Pearce | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 26.1% |
| Will Murray | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Matthew King | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Thad Lettsome | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Chris Kayda | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 28.6% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 18.1% |
| Edward Cook | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.