Race 1A

robert-p-arrigan

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Lee Dumaliang 16.6% 15.4% 14.5% 16.7% 12.8% 11.5% 8.2% 4.2% 0.1%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 12.8% 16.4% 15.5% 16.2% 14.8% 12.0% 7.9% 4.3% 0.1%
Michael Madigan 26.1% 19.4% 17.0% 14.4% 10.9% 7.9% 3.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Colin Kennedy 10.2% 11.7% 12.5% 13.0% 14.8% 14.2% 14.7% 8.5% 0.4%
Jacob Spracher 13.3% 16.3% 14.9% 10.9% 14.0% 12.9% 11.5% 5.6% 0.6%
Merritt Moran 10.6% 11.4% 13.0% 13.6% 13.5% 15.5% 15.3% 6.5% 0.6%
Anders Ekholm 6.6% 5.5% 9.0% 9.3% 13.0% 15.7% 21.8% 17.0% 2.1%
Robert Suriani 3.5% 3.6% 2.7% 5.3% 5.6% 9.0% 15.3% 46.6% 8.4%
Taylor Niles 0.3% 0.3% 0.9% 0.6% 0.6% 1.3% 1.9% 6.4% 87.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.