Race 2A

robert-p-arrigan

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Michael Madigan 25.0% 21.1% 17.2% 14.2% 11.0% 6.3% 3.9% 1.3% 0.0%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 13.0% 15.5% 16.9% 15.5% 13.4% 12.3% 8.3% 4.8% 0.3%
Jacob Spracher 12.8% 13.2% 14.1% 13.7% 14.0% 12.9% 14.7% 4.3% 0.3%
Colin Kennedy 10.9% 11.6% 11.8% 13.8% 13.2% 15.1% 13.8% 9.5% 0.3%
Anders Ekholm 6.9% 8.6% 9.5% 11.4% 11.3% 14.3% 19.2% 16.2% 2.6%
Robert Suriani 2.8% 3.0% 3.7% 5.0% 7.2% 7.6% 15.4% 49.0% 6.3%
Merritt Moran 10.9% 10.0% 13.0% 11.8% 15.2% 16.9% 14.4% 7.2% 0.6%
Lee Dumaliang 17.4% 16.7% 13.2% 13.7% 13.7% 13.8% 8.3% 2.7% 0.5%
Taylor Niles 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 2.0% 5.0% 89.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.