Race 3A

robert-p-arrigan

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jacob Spracher 13.0% 13.2% 13.1% 14.6% 15.1% 13.9% 11.4% 5.5% 0.2%
Robert Suriani 2.2% 2.4% 3.6% 4.4% 5.3% 9.6% 15.9% 47.1% 9.5%
Merritt Moran 9.5% 11.5% 12.2% 13.5% 13.7% 16.5% 15.5% 7.1% 0.5%
Lee Dumaliang 15.6% 17.1% 17.1% 15.8% 11.6% 10.7% 8.5% 3.5% 0.1%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 17.1% 18.4% 15.6% 12.5% 13.1% 10.7% 9.3% 2.8% 0.5%
Anders Ekholm 6.6% 7.1% 7.8% 11.4% 13.2% 16.0% 19.6% 16.9% 1.4%
Michael Madigan 24.5% 20.7% 17.9% 14.7% 10.9% 6.9% 3.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Colin Kennedy 11.2% 9.0% 12.3% 12.6% 16.0% 14.6% 14.3% 9.6% 0.4%
Taylor Niles 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.9% 6.7% 87.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.