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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+1.67vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.28+2.88vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.73+0.92vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.51+0.13vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.17-1.93vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.82-0.54vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.87-1.56vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.03-1.28vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-1.25-0.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Georgetown University3.470.3%1st Place
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4.88George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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3.92Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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4.13Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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3.07U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
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5.46Georgetown University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.44Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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6.72Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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8.71Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 29.4% | 24.4% | 19.6% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kennedy | 6.1% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 0.6% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 12.6% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Spracher | 12.5% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Madigan | 24.4% | 22.6% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Fung | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 23.0% | 15.2% | 1.5% |
| Anders Ekholm | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 19.1% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 2.1% |
| Robert Suriani | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 17.2% | 43.5% | 8.0% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 6.2% | 87.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.