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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.51+3.27vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.73+2.04vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.17+0.14vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.47-1.42vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.28-0.41vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.87-0.61vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.82-1.46vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.03-1.25vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-1.25-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.04Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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3.14U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
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2.58Georgetown University3.470.3%1st Place
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4.59George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.39Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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5.54Georgetown University1.820.1%1st Place
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6.75Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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8.69Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Spracher | 11.5% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 11.2% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Michael Madigan | 22.9% | 19.8% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 31.4% | 25.4% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kennedy | 8.4% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 7.3% | 1.1% |
| Anders Ekholm | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 21.6% | 14.7% | 1.4% |
| Emily Fung | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 22.7% | 16.6% | 1.9% |
| Robert Suriani | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 45.2% | 7.6% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 6.2% | 87.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.