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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.47+2.59vs Predicted
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2Stanford University1.00+3.06vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University0.53+3.74vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.50-0.17vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.39+5.34vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+0.19vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.70-1.32vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.53-2.26vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.84+0.87vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.03-2.73vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57+1.31vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-1.54+0.87vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.92+0.38vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-1.19-2.61vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-1.38-3.10vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-2.85-0.80vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.53-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59University of Hawaii1.4721.2%1st Place
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5.06Stanford University1.0010.2%1st Place
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6.74San Diego State University0.536.7%1st Place
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3.83University of California at Santa Barbara1.5020.2%1st Place
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10.34Arizona State University-0.391.6%1st Place
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6.19University of California at Santa Cruz0.827.4%1st Place
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5.68University of Southern California0.7010.1%1st Place
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5.74California Poly Maritime Academy0.538.2%1st Place
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9.87University of California at Berkeley-0.842.5%1st Place
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7.27University of California at San Diego0.034.5%1st Place
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12.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.0%1st Place
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12.87California State University Channel Islands-1.540.5%1st Place
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13.38Arizona State University-1.920.6%1st Place
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11.39San Diego State University-1.191.7%1st Place
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11.9Santa Clara University-1.381.4%1st Place
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15.2San Diego State University-2.850.4%1st Place
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11.63Arizona State University-1.532.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Rathkopf | 21.2% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Cornell | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Skerrett | 20.2% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| George Soliman | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Berry | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bianca Weber | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 6.5% |
| Brent Lin | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 10.5% |
| Viviane Carroll | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 20.7% | 15.6% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 4.2% |
| Luciano Lara | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 15.0% | 52.2% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.