← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.47+1.68vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University2.73+2.03vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy3.17+0.17vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University1.82+1.40vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University1.87+0.29vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University2.51-1.77vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University1.03-0.24vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University2.28-3.29vs Predicted
-
9Rutgers University-1.25-0.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.68Georgetown University3.470.3%1st Place
-
4.03Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
-
3.17U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
-
5.4Georgetown University1.820.1%1st Place
-
5.29Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
-
4.23Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
-
6.76Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
-
4.71George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
-
8.72Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 29.8% | 23.2% | 19.1% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 11.2% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Michael Madigan | 22.2% | 20.3% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emily Fung | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 17.9% | 21.2% | 15.4% | 1.3% |
| Anders Ekholm | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 2.2% |
| Jacob Spracher | 11.4% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 10.5% | 4.5% | 0.2% |
| Robert Suriani | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 18.6% | 43.6% | 7.4% |
| Colin Kennedy | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 6.1% | 88.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.