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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.87+4.42vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.51+2.43vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.82+2.51vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.73-0.24vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.47-2.37vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.03+0.71vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.28-2.30vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.17-4.88vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-1.25-0.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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4.43Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.51Georgetown University1.820.0%1st Place
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3.76Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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2.63Georgetown University3.470.3%1st Place
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6.71Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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4.7George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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3.12U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
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8.72Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Ekholm | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 19.7% | 16.7% | 1.7% |
| Jacob Spracher | 8.2% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 0.4% |
| Emily Fung | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 20.8% | 17.5% | 1.9% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 13.1% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 31.9% | 24.5% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Robert Suriani | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 18.5% | 43.4% | 6.3% |
| Colin Kennedy | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 7.5% | 0.7% |
| Michael Madigan | 24.9% | 18.9% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 5.4% | 88.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.