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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.17+2.14vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.73+2.05vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.51+1.31vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.03+2.66vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.87+0.28vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.82-0.51vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.28-2.27vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.25+0.71vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.47-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
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4.05Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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4.31Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.66Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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5.28Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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5.49Georgetown University1.820.1%1st Place
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4.73George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.71Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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2.64Georgetown University3.470.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Madigan | 21.7% | 22.3% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 12.1% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Spracher | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 5.9% | 0.1% |
| Robert Suriani | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 42.2% | 6.9% |
| Anders Ekholm | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 15.6% | 1.9% |
| Emily Fung | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 18.3% | 19.7% | 17.6% | 1.8% |
| Colin Kennedy | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 7.8% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 5.8% | 88.4% |
| Sean Golden | 31.9% | 22.0% | 19.4% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.