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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.73+2.90vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.51+2.40vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.47-0.32vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.03+2.65vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.17-1.95vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.82-0.55vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.28-2.29vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.87-2.57vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-1.25-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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4.4Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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2.68Georgetown University3.470.3%1st Place
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6.65Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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3.05U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
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5.45Georgetown University1.820.0%1st Place
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4.71George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.43Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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8.73Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Dumaliang | 14.2% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 8.4% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 5.8% | 0.4% |
| Sean Golden | 29.7% | 23.8% | 19.0% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Suriani | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 17.7% | 41.1% | 6.6% |
| Michael Madigan | 25.0% | 22.4% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Fung | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 20.7% | 17.3% | 1.2% |
| Colin Kennedy | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 7.2% | 1.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 19.9% | 17.8% | 2.0% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 5.6% | 88.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.