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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.73+2.89vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.47+0.79vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.17+0.14vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.51+0.19vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.87+0.28vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.28-1.34vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.82-1.43vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.03-1.23vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-1.25-0.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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2.79Georgetown University3.470.3%1st Place
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3.14U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
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4.19Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.28Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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4.66George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.57Georgetown University1.820.1%1st Place
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6.77Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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8.7Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Dumaliang | 14.8% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Sean Golden | 27.0% | 24.7% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 23.1% | 19.3% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 11.7% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Anders Ekholm | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 18.5% | 15.8% | 2.1% |
| Colin Kennedy | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 6.9% | 0.6% |
| Emily Fung | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 22.1% | 16.5% | 2.1% |
| Robert Suriani | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 17.0% | 44.6% | 7.7% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 6.8% | 87.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.