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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.73+2.90vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.47+0.79vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.28+1.76vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.51+0.21vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.87+0.30vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.17-2.92vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.03-0.23vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.82-2.53vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-1.25-0.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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2.79Georgetown University3.470.3%1st Place
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4.76George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.21Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.3Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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3.08U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
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6.77Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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5.47Georgetown University1.820.1%1st Place
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8.72Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Dumaliang | 14.3% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Sean Golden | 28.3% | 22.5% | 19.2% | 14.2% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kennedy | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 18.5% | 14.1% | 8.5% | 0.8% |
| Jacob Spracher | 11.4% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| Anders Ekholm | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 19.4% | 15.0% | 2.1% |
| Michael Madigan | 22.8% | 20.9% | 18.7% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Suriani | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 18.1% | 44.0% | 7.0% |
| Emily Fung | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 21.1% | 17.3% | 1.6% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 5.9% | 88.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.