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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+1.68vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.28+2.88vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.17+0.16vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.51+0.17vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.87+0.31vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.82-0.50vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.73-3.14vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.25+0.72vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.03-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Georgetown University3.470.3%1st Place
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4.88George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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3.16U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
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4.17Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.31Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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5.5Georgetown University1.820.1%1st Place
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3.86Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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8.72Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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6.73Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 30.8% | 23.1% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kennedy | 6.7% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 9.0% | 0.6% |
| Michael Madigan | 21.2% | 21.7% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 11.9% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Anders Ekholm | 6.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 20.2% | 16.4% | 1.8% |
| Emily Fung | 6.2% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 17.6% | 21.2% | 17.1% | 1.6% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 13.7% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 5.8% | 88.4% |
| Robert Suriani | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 43.6% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.