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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+1.68vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.51+2.47vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.87+2.50vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.73-0.27vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.28-0.43vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.17-2.91vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.82-1.47vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.03-1.28vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-1.25-0.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Georgetown University3.470.3%1st Place
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4.47Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.5Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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3.73Old Dominion University2.730.2%1st Place
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4.57George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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3.09U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
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5.53Georgetown University1.820.1%1st Place
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6.72Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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8.7Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 31.0% | 23.1% | 18.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 8.0% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 0.3% |
| Anders Ekholm | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 22.5% | 15.7% | 1.9% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 15.3% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Colin Kennedy | 9.6% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 1.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 22.0% | 21.4% | 18.7% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily Fung | 6.0% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 20.1% | 21.2% | 16.1% | 1.9% |
| Robert Suriani | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 16.6% | 44.0% | 7.8% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 6.6% | 87.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.