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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.81+2.28vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66+1.64vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.60+0.90vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.95+1.23vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.64-1.32vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.27-1.74vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.45-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.8121.1%1st Place
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3.64St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6617.5%1st Place
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3.9University of Pennsylvania1.6014.6%1st Place
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5.23Old Dominion University0.955.8%1st Place
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3.68U. S. Naval Academy1.6416.5%1st Place
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4.26George Washington University1.2711.3%1st Place
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4.01Georgetown University1.4513.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Gleason | 21.1% | 19.0% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 4.7% |
| Keiran James Golden | 17.5% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 8.9% |
| Samuel Gavula | 14.6% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 11.5% |
| John Glenn | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 38.1% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 16.5% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 8.2% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 11.3% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 15.6% |
| Joe Coyne | 13.1% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.