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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.51+1.90vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.69-0.31vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.56-0.22vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12-2.71vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Salve Regina University1.510.2%1st Place
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1.69Boston College2.690.5%1st Place
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2.78Harvard University1.560.2%1st Place
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3.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.1%1st Place
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4.34University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genevieve Marquardt | 16.0% | 23.5% | 26.2% | 23.2% | 11.1% |
| Marcos Darcy | 54.4% | 27.6% | 13.4% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| David Mende | 17.3% | 25.3% | 26.2% | 24.1% | 7.1% |
| Karl Ryder | 9.3% | 17.8% | 24.2% | 32.1% | 16.6% |
| Kelsey Martins | 3.0% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 64.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.