← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.69+0.71vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12+1.27vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University1.56-2.22vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.64vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University1.51-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.71Boston College2.690.5%1st Place
-
3.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.1%1st Place
-
2.78Harvard University1.560.2%1st Place
-
4.36University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
-
2.88Salve Regina University1.510.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Darcy | 54.7% | 26.6% | 13.1% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Karl Ryder | 9.6% | 17.5% | 24.4% | 33.0% | 15.5% |
| David Mende | 17.5% | 25.3% | 27.2% | 21.6% | 8.4% |
| Kelsey Martins | 2.6% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 16.6% | 65.4% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 15.6% | 24.5% | 26.0% | 24.2% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.