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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+1.25vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.73vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.45+0.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.37+0.37vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.88-1.18vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0536.7%1st Place
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3.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9711.3%1st Place
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3.05University of Pennsylvania1.4519.9%1st Place
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4.37U. S. Naval Academy0.378.0%1st Place
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3.82George Washington University0.8812.3%1st Place
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3.78Old Dominion University0.9511.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 36.7% | 27.7% | 18.9% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Heather Kerns | 11.3% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 19.6% | 18.4% |
| Madeleine Rice | 19.9% | 20.9% | 20.3% | 18.4% | 13.9% | 6.6% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 20.4% | 35.4% |
| Jack Fisher | 12.3% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 20.0% | 20.1% | 19.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 11.8% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 21.1% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.