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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.50+2.71vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.47+1.71vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.00+1.93vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.39+6.40vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+1.18vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.53-0.15vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.70-1.37vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.03-0.78vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-1.54+3.96vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University0.53-3.12vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-1.19+0.36vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.92+1.34vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.84-3.16vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-1.38-2.06vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-2.76vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.53-4.44vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-2.85-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71University of California at Santa Barbara1.5020.5%1st Place
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3.71University of Hawaii1.4720.4%1st Place
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4.93Stanford University1.0011.9%1st Place
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10.4Arizona State University-0.391.8%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Santa Cruz0.827.0%1st Place
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5.85California Poly Maritime Academy0.538.6%1st Place
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5.63University of Southern California0.708.7%1st Place
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7.22University of California at San Diego0.035.7%1st Place
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12.96California State University Channel Islands-1.540.9%1st Place
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6.88San Diego State University0.536.0%1st Place
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11.36San Diego State University-1.191.1%1st Place
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13.34Arizona State University-1.920.7%1st Place
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9.84University of California at Berkeley-0.842.5%1st Place
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11.94Santa Clara University-1.381.4%1st Place
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12.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.1%1st Place
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11.56Arizona State University-1.531.3%1st Place
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15.25San Diego State University-2.850.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Skerrett | 20.5% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arden Rathkopf | 20.4% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Cornell | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| George Soliman | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Berry | 8.7% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brent Lin | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 12.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| Viviane Carroll | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 14.9% |
| Bianca Weber | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 4.2% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 7.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 3.8% |
| Luciano Lara | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 16.1% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.