← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University4.78+5.03vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin4.10+6.83vs Predicted
-
3Brown University4.49+4.24vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+8.52vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University4.52+2.07vs Predicted
-
6Yale University4.19+2.56vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University3.92+3.00vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Maritime College3.60+2.92vs Predicted
-
9Boston University4.07-0.13vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College2.77+4.72vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Irvine2.83+3.50vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University3.70-1.07vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont3.11+0.69vs Predicted
-
14Washington College3.65-3.09vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-5.21vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College4.06-7.02vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College3.02-3.43vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania2.68-2.88vs Predicted
-
19U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-12.45vs Predicted
-
20University of Rhode Island3.62-8.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.03Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
-
8.83University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
-
7.24Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
-
12.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
-
7.07Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
-
8.56Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
-
10.0Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
-
10.92SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
-
8.87Boston University4.070.0%1st Place
-
14.72Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
-
14.5University of California at Irvine2.830.0%1st Place
-
10.93Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
-
13.69University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
-
10.91Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
-
9.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
-
8.98Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
-
13.57Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
-
15.12University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
-
6.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
-
11.2University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cy Thompson | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Fred Strammer | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nick Aswad | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% |
| Alan Palmer | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Harry Scott | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| Ben Greenfield | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Jeff Hahl | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 17.9% |
| Jack Porter | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 17.9% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Quentin Chafee | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.8% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Sam Williams | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Wells Bacon | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 12.1% |
| Michael Russom | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 19.9% |
| Samuel Ingham | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Carmody | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.