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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.69+0.72vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12+1.29vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.56-1.24vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.51-2.12vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72Boston College2.690.5%1st Place
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3.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.1%1st Place
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2.76Harvard University1.560.2%1st Place
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2.88Salve Regina University1.510.2%1st Place
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4.35University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Darcy | 53.3% | 28.4% | 12.1% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Karl Ryder | 9.7% | 16.6% | 25.2% | 32.0% | 16.5% |
| David Mende | 18.0% | 25.0% | 26.8% | 23.3% | 6.9% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 15.8% | 23.8% | 26.5% | 24.4% | 9.5% |
| Kelsey Martins | 3.2% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.