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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.64+2.70vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.81+1.36vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.45+0.99vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.27+0.32vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.60-1.22vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66-2.23vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.95-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7U. S. Naval Academy1.6416.5%1st Place
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3.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.8119.8%1st Place
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3.99Georgetown University1.4514.1%1st Place
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4.32George Washington University1.2711.1%1st Place
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3.78University of Pennsylvania1.6015.5%1st Place
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3.77St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6615.8%1st Place
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5.08Old Dominion University0.957.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Scheiblauer | 16.5% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 9.1% |
| Richard Gleason | 19.8% | 18.9% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 5.9% |
| Joe Coyne | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 12.5% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 18.5% |
| Samuel Gavula | 15.5% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 10.0% |
| Keiran James Golden | 15.8% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 9.5% |
| John Glenn | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.