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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+1.27vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.69vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.37+1.35vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.88-0.13vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.45-1.92vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0535.6%1st Place
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3.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9713.1%1st Place
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4.35U. S. Naval Academy0.378.2%1st Place
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3.87George Washington University0.8810.6%1st Place
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3.08University of Pennsylvania1.4521.2%1st Place
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3.74Old Dominion University0.9511.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 35.6% | 28.2% | 18.6% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Heather Kerns | 13.1% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 18.4% | 19.9% | 17.3% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 20.8% | 35.3% |
| Jack Fisher | 10.6% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 21.2% | 19.8% |
| Madeleine Rice | 21.2% | 19.3% | 20.0% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 7.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 11.2% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 20.8% | 17.6% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.