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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.69+0.71vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.56+0.81vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12+0.26vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.51-1.13vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71Boston College2.690.5%1st Place
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2.81Harvard University1.560.2%1st Place
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3.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.1%1st Place
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2.87Salve Regina University1.510.2%1st Place
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4.35University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Darcy | 53.5% | 28.4% | 12.8% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| David Mende | 15.8% | 26.4% | 26.7% | 23.4% | 7.7% |
| Karl Ryder | 11.5% | 15.8% | 23.6% | 33.1% | 16.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 15.9% | 23.5% | 27.7% | 23.4% | 9.5% |
| Kelsey Martins | 3.3% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 65.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.