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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.27+3.29vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.45+2.01vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66+0.69vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.60-0.14vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.81-1.63vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.64-2.30vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.95-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29George Washington University1.2711.6%1st Place
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4.01Georgetown University1.4513.2%1st Place
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3.69St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6616.9%1st Place
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3.86University of Pennsylvania1.6014.9%1st Place
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3.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.8119.3%1st Place
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3.7U. S. Naval Academy1.6417.3%1st Place
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5.09Old Dominion University0.956.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar MacGillivray | 11.6% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 19.1% |
| Joe Coyne | 13.2% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 13.2% |
| Keiran James Golden | 16.9% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 9.2% |
| Samuel Gavula | 14.9% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 10.2% |
| Richard Gleason | 19.3% | 18.4% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 5.4% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 17.3% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 8.6% |
| John Glenn | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 18.3% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.