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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12+2.28vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.51+0.85vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.69-1.29vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.56-1.21vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.1%1st Place
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2.85Salve Regina University1.510.2%1st Place
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1.71Boston College2.690.5%1st Place
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2.79Harvard University1.560.2%1st Place
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4.37University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Ryder | 10.6% | 17.3% | 23.7% | 29.9% | 18.5% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 15.6% | 24.3% | 27.5% | 24.5% | 8.1% |
| Marcos Darcy | 54.6% | 26.0% | 14.3% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| David Mende | 16.6% | 26.8% | 24.9% | 24.2% | 7.5% |
| Kelsey Martins | 2.6% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 17.1% | 65.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.