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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.71vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+0.26vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.95+0.77vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.88-0.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.37-0.69vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.45-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9712.3%1st Place
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2.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0536.4%1st Place
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3.77Old Dominion University0.9512.2%1st Place
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3.92George Washington University0.8810.7%1st Place
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4.31U. S. Naval Academy0.377.8%1st Place
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3.02University of Pennsylvania1.4520.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Kerns | 12.3% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 19.7% | 18.8% | 17.9% |
| Charlie Anderson | 36.4% | 28.1% | 17.1% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 12.2% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 19.9% | 20.0% | 18.4% |
| Jack Fisher | 10.7% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 21.8% | 21.9% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 21.6% | 33.0% |
| Madeleine Rice | 20.5% | 20.3% | 22.4% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.