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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66+2.78vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.81+1.37vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.45+1.05vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.95+1.11vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.64-1.36vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.60-2.20vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.27-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6616.4%1st Place
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3.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.8119.8%1st Place
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4.05Georgetown University1.4512.6%1st Place
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5.11Old Dominion University0.957.3%1st Place
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3.64U. S. Naval Academy1.6417.1%1st Place
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3.8University of Pennsylvania1.6014.8%1st Place
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4.24George Washington University1.2712.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Keiran James Golden | 16.4% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 10.5% |
Richard Gleason | 19.8% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 5.6% |
Joe Coyne | 12.6% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 13.3% |
John Glenn | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 18.6% | 35.8% |
Caden Scheiblauer | 17.1% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 8.5% |
Samuel Gavula | 14.8% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 10.3% |
Oscar MacGillivray | 12.2% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.