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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.69+0.70vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12+1.27vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.51-0.15vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-0.64vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.56-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7Boston College2.690.5%1st Place
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3.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.1%1st Place
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2.85Salve Regina University1.510.2%1st Place
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4.36University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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2.81Harvard University1.560.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Darcy | 54.3% | 27.4% | 12.8% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Karl Ryder | 9.6% | 17.2% | 24.7% | 33.1% | 15.4% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 16.7% | 23.5% | 26.9% | 23.8% | 9.1% |
| Kelsey Martins | 2.6% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 16.2% | 65.7% |
| David Mende | 16.8% | 25.8% | 26.2% | 22.2% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.