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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+1.32vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.70vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.95+0.76vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.37+0.41vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.88-1.21vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.45-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0535.8%1st Place
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3.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9713.7%1st Place
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3.76Old Dominion University0.9510.9%1st Place
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4.41U. S. Naval Academy0.378.1%1st Place
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3.79George Washington University0.8811.7%1st Place
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3.03University of Pennsylvania1.4519.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 35.8% | 25.8% | 19.2% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 13.7% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 19.8% | 20.8% | 16.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 10.9% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 19.1% | 18.8% | 18.6% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 20.0% | 37.4% |
| Jack Fisher | 11.7% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 18.8% | 20.8% | 18.8% |
| Madeleine Rice | 19.9% | 22.1% | 20.5% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.