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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.56+1.84vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12+0.29vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.51-1.17vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.69-3.31vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Harvard University1.560.2%1st Place
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3.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.1%1st Place
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2.83Salve Regina University1.510.2%1st Place
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1.69Boston College2.690.5%1st Place
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4.35University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Mende | 16.4% | 24.8% | 28.0% | 20.3% | 10.5% |
| Karl Ryder | 9.9% | 16.2% | 24.2% | 34.1% | 15.6% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 17.1% | 23.9% | 25.8% | 25.2% | 8.0% |
| Marcos Darcy | 53.8% | 29.0% | 12.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Kelsey Martins | 2.8% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 16.7% | 65.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.