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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66+2.70vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.81+1.34vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.27+1.23vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.60-0.07vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.95+0.10vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.64-2.31vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.45-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6616.0%1st Place
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3.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.8120.0%1st Place
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4.23George Washington University1.2713.2%1st Place
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3.93University of Pennsylvania1.6014.1%1st Place
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5.1Old Dominion University0.957.6%1st Place
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3.69U. S. Naval Academy1.6417.0%1st Place
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4.01Georgetown University1.4512.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keiran James Golden | 16.0% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 9.2% |
| Richard Gleason | 20.0% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 5.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 13.2% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 15.6% |
| Samuel Gavula | 14.1% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 11.2% |
| John Glenn | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 36.4% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 17.0% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 9.8% |
| Joe Coyne | 12.2% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.