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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+1.28vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.72vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.88+0.90vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.95-0.27vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.45-1.99vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.37-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0535.8%1st Place
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3.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9712.0%1st Place
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3.9George Washington University0.8810.8%1st Place
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3.73Old Dominion University0.9513.5%1st Place
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3.01University of Pennsylvania1.4519.8%1st Place
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4.36U. S. Naval Academy0.378.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 35.8% | 27.5% | 17.9% | 12.1% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Heather Kerns | 12.0% | 14.3% | 17.5% | 18.8% | 20.6% | 16.8% |
| Jack Fisher | 10.8% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 21.1% | 21.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 13.5% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 17.6% | 20.5% | 18.4% |
| Madeleine Rice | 19.8% | 21.4% | 21.2% | 19.5% | 11.9% | 6.2% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 20.6% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.