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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.69+0.72vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.51+0.86vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.56-1.21vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12-1.72vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72Boston College2.690.5%1st Place
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2.86Salve Regina University1.510.1%1st Place
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2.79Harvard University1.560.2%1st Place
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3.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.1%1st Place
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4.35University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Darcy | 54.2% | 26.9% | 12.9% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 14.9% | 25.1% | 26.7% | 25.4% | 7.9% |
| David Mende | 17.4% | 24.1% | 27.2% | 24.3% | 7.0% |
| Karl Ryder | 9.9% | 18.1% | 24.2% | 29.7% | 18.1% |
| Kelsey Martins | 3.6% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.