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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.81+2.35vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.60+1.81vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66+0.69vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.95+1.05vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.64-1.33vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.45-1.89vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.27-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.8118.7%1st Place
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3.81University of Pennsylvania1.6016.1%1st Place
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3.69St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6616.4%1st Place
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5.05Old Dominion University0.958.2%1st Place
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3.67U. S. Naval Academy1.6417.2%1st Place
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4.11Georgetown University1.4512.9%1st Place
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4.33George Washington University1.2710.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Gleason | 18.7% | 20.4% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 5.8% |
| Samuel Gavula | 16.1% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 10.8% |
| Keiran James Golden | 16.4% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 8.6% |
| John Glenn | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 36.0% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 17.2% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 8.2% |
| Joe Coyne | 12.9% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 13.9% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 10.4% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.