← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.74vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+0.30vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University0.95+0.77vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania1.45-1.00vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University0.88-1.23vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy0.37-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9712.7%1st Place
-
2.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0535.2%1st Place
-
3.77Old Dominion University0.9511.7%1st Place
-
3.0University of Pennsylvania1.4520.6%1st Place
-
3.77George Washington University0.8812.7%1st Place
-
4.42U. S. Naval Academy0.377.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Kerns | 12.7% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 19.2% | 20.5% | 17.6% |
| Charlie Anderson | 35.2% | 27.4% | 19.0% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 11.7% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 20.1% | 18.4% |
| Madeleine Rice | 20.6% | 22.2% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 12.9% | 7.0% |
| Jack Fisher | 12.7% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 17.8% | 21.9% | 17.9% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 19.4% | 37.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.