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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.69+0.70vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.56+0.80vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.51-0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-0.63vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7Boston College2.690.5%1st Place
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2.8Harvard University1.560.2%1st Place
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2.86Salve Regina University1.510.2%1st Place
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4.37University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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3.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Darcy | 54.9% | 26.2% | 13.4% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| David Mende | 15.3% | 27.4% | 26.5% | 23.2% | 7.6% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 16.5% | 22.7% | 28.1% | 23.3% | 9.4% |
| Kelsey Martins | 2.6% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 17.1% | 65.2% |
| Karl Ryder | 10.7% | 18.5% | 22.1% | 31.6% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.