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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.47+2.68vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.50+1.82vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.00+1.99vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.39+6.36vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+0.82vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University0.53+0.91vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.70-1.44vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-1.54+4.87vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-2.87vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.84-0.21vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-1.19+0.46vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.03-4.67vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.92+0.31vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-1.38-2.13vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-2.91vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.53-4.33vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-2.85-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68University of Hawaii1.4721.1%1st Place
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3.82University of California at Santa Barbara1.5018.8%1st Place
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4.99Stanford University1.0011.8%1st Place
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10.36Arizona State University-0.391.8%1st Place
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5.82California Poly Maritime Academy0.539.3%1st Place
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6.91San Diego State University0.536.5%1st Place
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5.56University of Southern California0.708.6%1st Place
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12.87California State University Channel Islands-1.540.7%1st Place
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6.13University of California at Santa Cruz0.828.1%1st Place
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9.79University of California at Berkeley-0.841.9%1st Place
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11.46San Diego State University-1.191.5%1st Place
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7.33University of California at San Diego0.035.5%1st Place
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13.31Arizona State University-1.920.8%1st Place
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11.87Santa Clara University-1.380.9%1st Place
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12.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.570.9%1st Place
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11.67Arizona State University-1.531.7%1st Place
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15.36San Diego State University-2.850.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Rathkopf | 21.1% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Skerrett | 18.8% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Cornell | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Sam Jennings | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Berry | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brent Lin | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 10.3% |
| George Soliman | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bianca Weber | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 4.3% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Viviane Carroll | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 14.2% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 5.0% |
| Daniel Gates | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 6.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 3.8% |
| Luciano Lara | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 15.2% | 54.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.