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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.08+2.00vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.72+1.55vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23+1.24vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.81-0.55vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.93-2.99vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut0.19-0.44vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-1.15-0.01vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.47-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Salve Regina University2.080.2%1st Place
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3.55University of Vermont1.720.1%1st Place
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4.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.1%1st Place
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3.45Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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2.01Connecticut College2.930.4%1st Place
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5.56University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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6.99Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.2Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Killian | 19.0% | 22.9% | 21.9% | 18.9% | 11.4% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Mike Kanare | 12.7% | 15.0% | 20.2% | 22.9% | 18.0% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Robert Queisser | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 25.2% | 19.2% | 6.0% | 0.4% |
| Peter Bailey | 12.9% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 21.7% | 19.3% | 7.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Salk | 43.8% | 26.9% | 17.6% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Williams | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 15.8% | 38.9% | 19.5% | 6.1% |
| Lauren Javaly | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 4.4% | 11.8% | 36.9% | 41.8% |
| Sebastian Kern | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 9.2% | 32.4% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.