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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.27+3.31vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.45+2.04vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.81+0.39vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.64-0.41vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.95+0.13vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66-2.28vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.60-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31George Washington University1.2711.8%1st Place
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4.04Georgetown University1.4513.8%1st Place
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3.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.8120.0%1st Place
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3.59U. S. Naval Academy1.6416.0%1st Place
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5.13Old Dominion University0.956.5%1st Place
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3.72St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6615.6%1st Place
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3.82University of Pennsylvania1.6016.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar MacGillivray | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 18.2% |
| Joe Coyne | 13.8% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 13.1% |
| Richard Gleason | 20.0% | 18.9% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 5.8% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 16.0% | 18.6% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.0% |
| John Glenn | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 36.7% |
| Keiran James Golden | 15.6% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 7.8% |
| Samuel Gavula | 16.4% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.