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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.77vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.88+1.87vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.95+0.76vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-1.78vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.45-1.96vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.37-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9712.7%1st Place
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3.87George Washington University0.8810.0%1st Place
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3.76Old Dominion University0.9511.6%1st Place
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2.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0538.0%1st Place
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3.04University of Pennsylvania1.4519.7%1st Place
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4.33U. S. Naval Academy0.378.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Kerns | 12.7% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 20.1% | 18.8% |
| Jack Fisher | 10.0% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 20.5% | 21.0% | 19.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 11.6% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 19.9% | 19.3% | 18.4% |
| Charlie Anderson | 38.0% | 25.9% | 19.2% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Madeleine Rice | 19.7% | 22.8% | 19.8% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 7.0% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 20.3% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.