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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.08+1.96vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.93+0.04vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.72+0.54vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23+0.24vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.81-1.57vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut0.19-0.44vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-1.150.00vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.47-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Salve Regina University2.080.2%1st Place
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2.04Connecticut College2.930.4%1st Place
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3.54University of Vermont1.720.1%1st Place
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4.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.1%1st Place
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3.43Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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7.0Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.21Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Killian | 19.4% | 24.7% | 20.3% | 18.2% | 12.0% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Salk | 42.7% | 27.9% | 15.8% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kanare | 12.8% | 15.7% | 19.1% | 21.9% | 19.8% | 8.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Queisser | 7.6% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 25.8% | 18.8% | 5.2% | 0.3% |
| Peter Bailey | 13.1% | 17.1% | 22.2% | 21.0% | 16.1% | 9.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| George Williams | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 16.7% | 38.0% | 20.0% | 6.2% |
| Lauren Javaly | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 12.6% | 37.0% | 41.8% |
| Sebastian Kern | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 8.0% | 33.3% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.