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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.93+0.98vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.08+1.04vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23+1.20vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.81-0.56vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.72-1.46vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-1.15+0.96vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut0.19-1.38vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.47-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Connecticut College2.930.5%1st Place
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3.04Salve Regina University2.080.2%1st Place
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4.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.1%1st Place
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3.44Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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3.54University of Vermont1.720.1%1st Place
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6.96Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
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5.62University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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7.21Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Salk | 46.4% | 26.1% | 15.1% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 16.9% | 23.8% | 22.5% | 18.4% | 13.2% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Queisser | 7.8% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 25.0% | 19.2% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Peter Bailey | 13.2% | 17.1% | 20.5% | 21.6% | 19.0% | 6.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Mike Kanare | 11.8% | 16.2% | 21.2% | 19.7% | 20.6% | 9.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Javaly | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 13.9% | 36.5% | 40.1% |
| George Williams | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 38.5% | 22.4% | 6.4% |
| Sebastian Kern | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 7.1% | 33.1% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.