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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.81+2.32vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66+1.68vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.27+1.30vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.60-0.17vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.45-0.94vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.64-2.34vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.95-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.8121.0%1st Place
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3.68St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6615.7%1st Place
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4.3George Washington University1.2711.6%1st Place
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3.83University of Pennsylvania1.6016.0%1st Place
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4.06Georgetown University1.4512.3%1st Place
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3.66U. S. Naval Academy1.6417.5%1st Place
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5.15Old Dominion University0.955.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Gleason | 21.0% | 18.3% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 5.2% |
| Keiran James Golden | 15.7% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 8.3% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 17.2% |
| Samuel Gavula | 16.0% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 10.4% |
| Joe Coyne | 12.3% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 13.0% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 17.5% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 8.8% |
| John Glenn | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.