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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.93+0.98vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.72+1.57vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.81+0.42vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23+0.23vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.08-1.95vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut0.19-0.44vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-1.150.00vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.47-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Connecticut College2.930.5%1st Place
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3.57University of Vermont1.720.1%1st Place
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3.42Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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4.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.1%1st Place
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3.05Salve Regina University2.080.2%1st Place
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5.56University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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7.0Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.21Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Salk | 46.1% | 27.0% | 14.6% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kanare | 11.6% | 15.9% | 20.0% | 22.7% | 19.0% | 8.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Peter Bailey | 14.0% | 16.9% | 20.1% | 22.5% | 17.1% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Queisser | 7.2% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 25.7% | 19.4% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
| Shannon Killian | 17.2% | 23.3% | 23.4% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| George Williams | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 16.7% | 37.4% | 20.2% | 6.1% |
| Lauren Javaly | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 12.6% | 37.2% | 41.7% |
| Sebastian Kern | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 8.2% | 33.3% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.