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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+1.26vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.68vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.88+0.88vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.37+0.39vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.45-2.01vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0537.0%1st Place
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3.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9712.6%1st Place
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3.88George Washington University0.8811.5%1st Place
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4.39U. S. Naval Academy0.377.3%1st Place
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2.99University of Pennsylvania1.4520.5%1st Place
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3.79Old Dominion University0.9511.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 37.0% | 27.0% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Heather Kerns | 12.6% | 14.3% | 18.7% | 17.6% | 20.4% | 16.4% |
| Jack Fisher | 11.5% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 20.3% | 21.8% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 7.3% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 19.5% | 35.7% |
| Madeleine Rice | 20.5% | 23.4% | 19.2% | 17.4% | 12.1% | 7.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 11.0% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 22.4% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.