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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66+2.72vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.81+1.29vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.64+0.67vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.60-0.08vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.95+0.02vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.27-1.69vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.45-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6616.4%1st Place
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3.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.8119.9%1st Place
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3.67U. S. Naval Academy1.6417.2%1st Place
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3.92University of Pennsylvania1.6014.2%1st Place
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5.02Old Dominion University0.957.1%1st Place
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4.31George Washington University1.2712.0%1st Place
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4.07Georgetown University1.4513.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keiran James Golden | 16.4% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 10.0% |
| Richard Gleason | 19.9% | 20.0% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 4.8% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 17.2% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 9.4% |
| Samuel Gavula | 14.2% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 11.5% |
| John Glenn | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 33.8% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 12.0% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 17.8% |
| Joe Coyne | 13.1% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.