← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College2.93+0.99vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont1.72+1.54vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University2.08+0.03vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.81-0.56vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23-0.76vs Predicted
-
6University of Connecticut0.19-0.42vs Predicted
-
7Wesleyan University-1.15-0.01vs Predicted
-
8Middlebury College-1.47-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.99Connecticut College2.930.5%1st Place
-
3.54University of Vermont1.720.1%1st Place
-
3.03Salve Regina University2.080.2%1st Place
-
3.44Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
-
4.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.1%1st Place
-
5.58University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
-
6.99Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
-
7.2Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Salk | 46.1% | 26.4% | 15.1% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kanare | 11.9% | 17.0% | 20.1% | 20.8% | 18.7% | 9.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 18.4% | 21.5% | 23.2% | 19.4% | 11.6% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 13.1% | 19.0% | 18.5% | 21.2% | 18.7% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Robert Queisser | 6.7% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 18.5% | 24.8% | 19.4% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
| George Williams | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 17.1% | 37.5% | 20.2% | 6.2% |
| Lauren Javaly | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 11.6% | 37.4% | 41.6% |
| Sebastian Kern | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 8.5% | 33.0% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.