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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+1.25vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.72vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.37+1.39vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.88-0.16vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.45-1.98vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0536.0%1st Place
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3.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9713.2%1st Place
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4.39U. S. Naval Academy0.376.9%1st Place
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3.84George Washington University0.8811.1%1st Place
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3.02University of Pennsylvania1.4521.1%1st Place
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3.77Old Dominion University0.9511.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 36.0% | 28.2% | 18.4% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Heather Kerns | 13.2% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 20.7% | 19.8% | 17.1% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 6.9% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 21.3% | 35.2% |
| Jack Fisher | 11.1% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 19.3% | 21.2% |
| Madeleine Rice | 21.1% | 20.0% | 21.9% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 6.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 11.7% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 20.6% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.