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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.93+0.99vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.08+1.05vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.72+0.53vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23+0.20vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.81-1.57vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-1.15+0.97vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut0.19-1.40vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.47-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99Connecticut College2.930.5%1st Place
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3.05Salve Regina University2.080.2%1st Place
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3.53University of Vermont1.720.1%1st Place
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4.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.1%1st Place
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3.43Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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6.97Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
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5.6University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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7.22Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Salk | 45.6% | 27.5% | 14.4% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 17.2% | 23.0% | 22.6% | 18.5% | 12.9% | 5.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kanare | 13.1% | 14.7% | 20.5% | 21.5% | 19.1% | 9.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Queisser | 7.4% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 19.0% | 26.7% | 17.6% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Peter Bailey | 13.0% | 18.1% | 20.8% | 20.0% | 19.0% | 7.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Javaly | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 14.5% | 36.8% | 40.1% |
| George Williams | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 37.2% | 22.7% | 6.4% |
| Sebastian Kern | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 32.8% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.