← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College2.93+0.98vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University2.08+1.02vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23+1.24vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.81-0.56vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont1.72-1.45vs Predicted
-
6University of Connecticut0.19-0.43vs Predicted
-
7Wesleyan University-1.15-0.01vs Predicted
-
8Middlebury College-1.47-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.98Connecticut College2.930.5%1st Place
-
3.02Salve Regina University2.080.2%1st Place
-
4.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.1%1st Place
-
3.44Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
-
3.55University of Vermont1.720.1%1st Place
-
5.57University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
-
6.99Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
-
7.19Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Salk | 46.7% | 25.2% | 15.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 16.7% | 24.5% | 22.1% | 18.7% | 13.2% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Queisser | 7.8% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 25.7% | 18.5% | 6.1% | 0.5% |
| Peter Bailey | 13.0% | 17.2% | 20.2% | 22.6% | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Mike Kanare | 11.6% | 16.3% | 21.1% | 20.6% | 18.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| George Williams | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 15.8% | 38.1% | 20.3% | 6.0% |
| Lauren Javaly | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 12.2% | 36.8% | 41.9% |
| Sebastian Kern | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 8.9% | 32.7% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.