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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.60+2.85vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.45+2.04vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.81+0.41vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.95+1.04vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.27-0.70vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66-2.23vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.64-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85University of Pennsylvania1.6014.2%1st Place
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4.04Georgetown University1.4514.0%1st Place
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3.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.8118.6%1st Place
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5.04Old Dominion University0.958.0%1st Place
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4.3George Washington University1.2712.3%1st Place
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3.77St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6614.2%1st Place
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3.58U. S. Naval Academy1.6418.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Gavula | 14.2% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 10.6% |
| Joe Coyne | 14.0% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 13.6% |
| Richard Gleason | 18.6% | 18.1% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 5.2% |
| John Glenn | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 34.9% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 17.0% |
| Keiran James Golden | 14.2% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 9.6% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 18.8% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.