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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.72+2.51vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.93+0.01vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23+1.21vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.81-0.55vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.08-1.95vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.47+1.25vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-1.15-0.03vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut0.19-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51University of Vermont1.720.1%1st Place
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2.01Connecticut College2.930.4%1st Place
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4.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.1%1st Place
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3.45Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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3.05Salve Regina University2.080.2%1st Place
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7.25Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
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6.97Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
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5.56University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Kanare | 13.0% | 15.4% | 22.0% | 20.5% | 17.8% | 9.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Gabriel Salk | 44.0% | 26.5% | 18.1% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Queisser | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 23.7% | 20.3% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Peter Bailey | 13.1% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 24.0% | 17.4% | 8.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Shannon Killian | 18.1% | 23.0% | 21.7% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sebastian Kern | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 7.7% | 30.6% | 54.6% |
| Lauren Javaly | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 10.3% | 41.0% | 39.1% |
| George Williams | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 16.8% | 38.7% | 20.2% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.