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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+1.23vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.37+2.41vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.88+0.85vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.26vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.95-1.27vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.45-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0538.2%1st Place
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4.41U. S. Naval Academy0.376.7%1st Place
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3.85George Washington University0.8811.6%1st Place
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3.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9711.9%1st Place
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3.73Old Dominion University0.9512.1%1st Place
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3.04University of Pennsylvania1.4519.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 38.2% | 26.7% | 17.1% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 6.7% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 21.2% | 35.4% |
| Jack Fisher | 11.6% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 20.2% | 20.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 11.9% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 18.2% | 20.0% | 17.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 12.1% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 20.5% | 16.9% |
| Madeleine Rice | 19.4% | 22.9% | 20.1% | 17.3% | 12.6% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.