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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.93+0.97vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.81+1.40vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23+1.25vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.08-0.96vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.72-1.42vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut0.19-0.44vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-1.15-0.01vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.47-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Connecticut College2.930.5%1st Place
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3.4Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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4.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.1%1st Place
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3.04Salve Regina University2.080.2%1st Place
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3.58University of Vermont1.720.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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6.99Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.2Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Salk | 46.7% | 25.9% | 15.6% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 12.8% | 18.0% | 22.0% | 21.9% | 15.8% | 7.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Robert Queisser | 7.6% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 26.4% | 18.6% | 6.0% | 0.5% |
| Shannon Killian | 17.6% | 22.5% | 21.3% | 20.5% | 13.6% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mike Kanare | 11.0% | 16.6% | 20.7% | 20.3% | 19.8% | 10.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| George Williams | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 38.2% | 20.2% | 6.0% |
| Lauren Javaly | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 11.4% | 37.4% | 41.8% |
| Sebastian Kern | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 9.2% | 32.6% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.