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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.93+0.99vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23+2.25vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.81+0.42vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.72-0.47vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.08-1.94vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut0.19-0.44vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.47+0.26vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.15-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99Connecticut College2.930.5%1st Place
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4.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.1%1st Place
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3.42Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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3.53University of Vermont1.720.1%1st Place
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3.06Salve Regina University2.080.2%1st Place
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5.56University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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7.26Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
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6.94Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Salk | 45.1% | 27.8% | 15.2% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Queisser | 7.9% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 18.2% | 25.9% | 18.5% | 5.4% | 0.6% |
| Peter Bailey | 13.7% | 17.2% | 20.2% | 23.4% | 15.6% | 8.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kanare | 12.2% | 16.8% | 19.2% | 21.3% | 20.2% | 8.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 17.3% | 22.6% | 23.6% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 5.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| George Williams | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 16.1% | 38.1% | 20.5% | 5.7% |
| Sebastian Kern | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 8.6% | 26.9% | 58.0% |
| Lauren Javaly | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 12.3% | 42.8% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.