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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+1.26vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.77vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.37+1.32vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.88-0.17vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.95-1.29vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.45-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0537.8%1st Place
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3.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9711.7%1st Place
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4.32U. S. Naval Academy0.377.4%1st Place
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3.83George Washington University0.8811.6%1st Place
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3.71Old Dominion University0.9512.4%1st Place
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3.11University of Pennsylvania1.4519.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 37.8% | 25.7% | 18.6% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 1.4% |
| Heather Kerns | 11.7% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 17.8% | 19.9% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 7.4% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 20.9% | 33.7% |
| Jack Fisher | 11.6% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 21.4% | 19.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 12.4% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 19.1% | 19.0% | 17.8% |
| Madeleine Rice | 19.1% | 21.3% | 19.8% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.