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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.52+5.90vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.19+6.31vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.11+10.15vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+2.46vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.78+0.78vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.70+4.60vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.62+4.08vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+1.35vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.60+1.86vs Predicted
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10Brown University4.49-3.05vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.92-1.45vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.02+1.70vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.19+0.12vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-1.72vs Predicted
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15Boston University4.07-6.25vs Predicted
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16Washington College3.65-5.34vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.77-2.60vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.68-3.12vs Predicted
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19Dartmouth College4.06-10.23vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine2.83-5.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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8.31Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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13.15University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
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6.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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5.78Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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10.6Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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10.86SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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6.95Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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9.55Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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13.7Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
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13.12University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
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12.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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8.75Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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10.66Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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14.4Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
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14.88University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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8.77Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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14.43University of California at Irvine2.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Palmer | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Quentin Chafee | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% |
| Samuel Ingham | 11.0% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cy Thompson | 12.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Carmody | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| Harry Scott | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Fred Strammer | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Wells Bacon | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.6% |
| Michael Lee | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% |
| Nick Aswad | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% |
| Ben Greenfield | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Jeff Hahl | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 16.1% |
| Michael Russom | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 20.4% |
| Sam Williams | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jack Porter | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.