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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.50+2.69vs Predicted
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2Stanford University1.00+2.72vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+2.61vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.47-0.48vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University0.53+1.57vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-0.05vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.39+3.30vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California-0.12+0.16vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-1.19+2.30vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.03-2.75vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-1.54+1.78vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.84-2.38vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.92+0.24vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-2.04vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-1.38-3.34vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.53-4.53vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-2.85-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69University of California at Santa Barbara1.5020.3%1st Place
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4.72Stanford University1.0012.2%1st Place
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5.61California Poly Maritime Academy0.539.2%1st Place
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3.52University of Hawaii1.4722.5%1st Place
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6.57San Diego State University0.536.9%1st Place
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5.95University of California at Santa Cruz0.827.8%1st Place
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10.3Arizona State University-0.392.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Southern California-0.123.2%1st Place
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11.3San Diego State University-1.191.5%1st Place
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7.25University of California at San Diego0.035.1%1st Place
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12.78California State University Channel Islands-1.541.1%1st Place
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9.62University of California at Berkeley-0.842.4%1st Place
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13.24Arizona State University-1.920.5%1st Place
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11.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.8%1st Place
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11.66Santa Clara University-1.381.5%1st Place
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11.47Arizona State University-1.531.6%1st Place
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15.19San Diego State University-2.850.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Skerrett | 20.3% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Cornell | 12.2% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arden Rathkopf | 22.5% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Lara Granucci | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 2.9% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brent Lin | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 11.1% |
| Bianca Weber | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Viviane Carroll | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 15.9% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 6.2% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 4.7% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
| Luciano Lara | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.