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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.81+2.32vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66+1.80vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.60+0.82vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.64-0.32vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.95+0.11vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.45-1.96vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.27-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.8120.6%1st Place
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3.8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6616.0%1st Place
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3.82University of Pennsylvania1.6014.2%1st Place
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3.68U. S. Naval Academy1.6417.1%1st Place
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5.11Old Dominion University0.957.1%1st Place
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4.04Georgetown University1.4512.8%1st Place
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4.23George Washington University1.2712.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Gleason | 20.6% | 19.2% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 5.8% |
| Keiran James Golden | 16.0% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 9.6% |
| Samuel Gavula | 14.2% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 9.4% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 17.1% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 9.2% |
| John Glenn | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 18.3% | 35.8% |
| Joe Coyne | 12.8% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 13.8% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.